2024-12-14 10:02:55
Italian 10-year bond yields continued to rise, rising by 10 basis points to 3.29%.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)Russia said that Ukraine used American-made missiles to attack Russian airports. Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov said today (December 12) that Russia will definitely respond to Ukraine's attack on Russian military airports using American-made army tactical missiles. Sabrina Singh, deputy spokesperson of the US Department of Defense, said on the 11th that Russia may launch the Hazelnut missile again in the next few days, and the United States will continue to support Ukraine in air defense. (CCTV International News)
SINOMACH (ING): It will be "neutral" to stop the easing cycle (temporarily) after the European Central Bank cuts interest rates again.Famous and excellent products rose by more than 5.5%, and institutions are optimistic about the sustained high growth of overseas markets.Lian Ping, Dean and Chief Economist of Guangkai Chief Industry Research Institute: It is expected that deficit ratio will be allocated 4%-4.5% next year, and its finance will be more active to meet the current economic needs. (Xinhua Finance)
Market News: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban and Turkish President Erdogan discuss US sanctions against Gazprom.The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.18%, the highest level in two weeks.Italian 10-year bond yields continued to rise, rising by 10 basis points to 3.29%.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14